Masaniello
Choose how many matches and how many you can miss: it works out every stake
What separates winning from losing is the method.
It is the plan most used in Italy by people who bet with a method, and it starts from one question: with this bankroll, these matches at these odds and at least a certain number of wins, where can I get to? From there it works out how much to put on each match, one at a time, so the target closes as soon as the wins you need arrive.
Try it on your numbers
The calculator runs in your browser: no number you type leaves this page.
If you miss more than you allowed, you lose the plan's bankroll.
In the app Masaniello comes already full of matches
Here you do the maths by hand. In the app you say how much goes in the bankroll and which odds you want, and the plan comes out ready: matches, stakes and target.
- Our model picks the matches, inside the odds range you choose
- The next stake, updated by itself at every result
- A bankroll that moves with you, and the record of all your plans
How the maths works
It starts from the end and works backwards. For every match and every number of wins already banked it asks how much bankroll is needed, entering there, to still guarantee the target. Winning, the bankroll becomes what is needed next with one more win; losing, what is needed next with the same: between the two there is one stake that squares both branches, and that is the one you play.
One stake at a time, not nine
The stake of the next match depends on how the previous one went. A plan that shows you all nine up front is making them up: they are true only until the first result arrives.
How to use it well
- The target has a price, and the maths tells you. The more wins you ask for over few matches, the bigger the first stake: move the number in the calculator and you see straight away what raising the bar costs you. That is why you start from the balanced suggestion and climb slowly.
- The plan's bankroll is a figure you choose, and Masaniello never goes past it. It does put all of it in play to reach the target, but not one euro more: that is why you decide up front how much to give the plan, and keep it apart from the rest.
- One match at a time, and never two that overlap. The next stake depends on how this one went: if two matches run together, the maths for the second is already stale when you play it. In the app the matches of a plan are chosen with this in mind too.